Pre-tourney Rankings
Big 12
2013-14


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
4 Kansas 100.0%   1   24 - 9 14 - 4 24 - 9 14 - 4 +17.5      +10.8 6 +6.7 30 71.4 90 +16.3 11 +18.1 1
14 Iowa St. 100.0%   3   26 - 7 11 - 7 26 - 7 11 - 7 +14.8      +8.6 14 +6.2 40 79.6 14 +17.2 9 +13.6 4
15 Oklahoma St. 86.3%   10   21 - 12 8 - 10 21 - 12 8 - 10 +14.8      +7.9 19 +7.0 27 72.5 68 +11.6 37 +9.3 8
27 Oklahoma 100.0%   5   23 - 9 12 - 6 23 - 9 12 - 6 +13.3      +9.5 10 +3.7 78 79.3 15 +14.1 19 +15.4 2
30 Baylor 100.0%   6   22 - 11 9 - 9 22 - 11 9 - 9 +12.5      +9.8 8 +2.7 99 60.7 332 +13.2 27 +11.0 7
38 Texas 99.8%   7   23 - 10 11 - 7 23 - 10 11 - 7 +10.8      +4.0 75 +6.8 29 73.5 58 +13.7 22 +14.2 3
45 Kansas St. 91.8%   8   20 - 12 10 - 8 20 - 12 10 - 8 +10.4      +3.1 100 +7.2 24 64.5 266 +10.9 45 +12.8 5
51 West Virginia 0.9%   17 - 15 9 - 9 17 - 15 9 - 9 +9.4      +7.5 21 +1.9 116 71.1 96 +8.2 67 +11.4 6
71 Texas Tech 0.0%   14 - 18 6 - 12 14 - 18 6 - 12 +7.2      +5.0 55 +2.2 107 59.2 339 +6.1 82 +7.2 9
195 TCU 0.0%   8 - 22 0 - 18 8 - 22 0 - 18 -1.8      -3.0 255 +1.2 142 65.7 229 -0.3 170 -7.6 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Kansas 1.0 100.0
Iowa St. 3.0 100.0
Oklahoma St. 8.0 100.0
Oklahoma 2.0 100.0
Baylor 6.0 100.0
Texas 3.0 100.0
Kansas St. 5.0 100.0
West Virginia 6.0 100.0
Texas Tech 9.0 100.0
TCU 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Kansas 14 - 4 100.0
Iowa St. 11 - 7 100.0
Oklahoma St. 8 - 10 100.0
Oklahoma 12 - 6 100.0
Baylor 9 - 9 100.0
Texas 11 - 7 100.0
Kansas St. 10 - 8 100.0
West Virginia 9 - 9 100.0
Texas Tech 6 - 12 100.0
TCU 0 - 18 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Kansas 100.0% 100.0
Iowa St.
Oklahoma St.
Oklahoma
Baylor
Texas
Kansas St.
West Virginia
Texas Tech
TCU


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Kansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1   56.4 41.1 2.4 0.0 100.0%
Iowa St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 3   2.2 23.4 57.4 16.6 0.4
Oklahoma St. 86.3% 0.0% 86.3% 10   0.1 1.9 14.5 24.3 32.8 12.7 0.1 13.7 86.3%
Oklahoma 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5   1.2 16.8 50.5 26.7 4.6 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Baylor 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 6   0.0 0.7 18.5 46.9 31.4 2.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Texas 99.8% 0.0% 99.8% 7   0.0 0.3 7.7 26.6 50.4 13.9 1.0 0.0 0.2 99.8%
Kansas St. 91.8% 0.0% 91.8% 8   0.2 5.2 35.8 35.9 13.4 1.3 8.2 91.8%
West Virginia 0.9% 0.0% 0.9% 0.1 0.7 0.0 99.1 0.9%
Texas Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
TCU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Kansas 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 96.7% 68.9% 42.2% 24.1% 12.6% 6.1%
Iowa St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 86.5% 52.1% 25.8% 11.3% 4.9% 1.8%
Oklahoma St. 86.3% 2.3% 85.5% 52.5% 22.8% 11.8% 5.5% 2.3% 0.9%
Oklahoma 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 67.8% 31.2% 12.2% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
Baylor 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 57.9% 23.1% 9.3% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
Texas 99.8% 0.0% 99.8% 49.4% 16.0% 5.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Kansas St. 91.8% 0.1% 91.8% 41.9% 10.6% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
West Virginia 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Texas Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TCU 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 6.8 0.9 20.1 78.3 0.6
1st Round 100.0% 6.8 1.0 20.9 77.8 0.3
2nd Round 100.0% 4.5 0.0 0.3 3.2 13.6 30.8 32.9 16.3 2.8 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 96.6% 2.2 3.4 20.1 37.8 27.8 9.4 1.5 0.1
Elite Eight 75.6% 1.1 24.4 46.3 24.0 4.9 0.3 0.0
Final Four 45.2% 0.5 54.8 38.9 6.0 0.4
Final Game 22.7% 0.2 77.3 21.8 0.9
Champion 9.9% 0.1 90.1 9.9